Traders on Alert as Debt-Limit Deadline Draws Near: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — US stocks and bonds fluctuated ahead of a crucial meeting between US President Joe Biden and Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy to iron out road blocks in debt-ceiling negotiations.

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The S&P 500 was little changed after earlier gains. Yields on short-term Treasuries were higher. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 advanced, even with chipmakers under pressure. Micron Technology Inc. fell 4.1% after China said the company’s products failed a cybersecurity review.

The big question on investors’ minds remains whether US politicians will be able to reach a deal to raise the debt limit before the government runs out of money. The urgency of the situation was underscored on Sunday by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who said the chances are “quite low” that the US can pay all its bills by mid-June.

“There is a lot of showmanship around the debt ceiling,” said Sarah Hewin, senior economist at Standard Chartered Plc in London. “The closer we get to June 1 without a resolution, the greater the risk of an accident so there is a lot of potential for markets to get concerned.”

In the meantime, tech is one beneficiary of the uncertainty. Elyse Ausenbaugh, a global investment strategist at JPMorgan Wealth Management, said mega-cap tech already “went through that phase of retrenching and refocusing their businesses, and so investors are starting to gravitate there.” The Nasdaq 100 surpassed a 52-week high on Monday.

The debt ceiling is “all-consuming now,” wrote Chris Low, chief economist at FHN Financial. “But when Congress raises it, attention will return to the economy and the Fed.”

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said he’s thinking of two more rate hikes this year, while Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said if the central bank pauses next month it should signal tightening isn’t over.

Elsewhere, Greek markets were a bright spot. Sunday’s national election resulted in a strong showing for Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis, signaling that investment-friendly policies will continue. The benchmark Athens Stock Exchange General Index jumped to its highest level in almost a decade. Meanwhile, the Euro Stoxx 600 was little changed on the day.

Commodities were broadly weaker because of concern over China’s post-Covid economic recovery. Iron ore futures dropped on signs of disappointing steel demand from the construction sector. However, Asian equities were higher after Biden hinted about improving relations with Beijing. His prediction that Sino-US ties would “begin to thaw very shortly” lifted Hong Kong stocks more than 1%.

Key events this week:

  • Fed presidents speaking are James Bullard, Raphael Bostic and Thomas Barkin, Monday

  • Eurozone S&P Global Eurozone Manufacturing & Services PMI, Tuesday

  • US new home sales, Tuesday

  • Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan speaks, Tuesday

  • Fed issues minutes of May 2-3 policy meeting, Wednesday

  • Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey speaks, Wednesday

  • US initial jobless claims, GDP, Thursday

  • Interest rate decisions in Turkey, South Africa, Indonesia, South Korea, Thursday

  • Tokyo CPI, Friday

  • US consumer income, wholesale inventories, durable goods, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:


  • The S&P 500 was little changed as of 10:49 a.m. New York time

  • The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.3%

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4%

  • The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 0.1%

  • The MSCI World index was little changed


  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.1%

  • The euro was little changed at $1.0809

  • The British pound fell 0.2% to $1.2424

  • The Japanese yen fell 0.4% to 138.48 per dollar


  • Bitcoin rose 0.3% to $26,923.31

  • Ether rose 0.7% to $1,817.84


  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced three basis points to 3.71%

  • Germany’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to 2.45%

  • Britain’s 10-year yield advanced four basis points to 4.04%


  • West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.3% to $71.35 a barrel

  • Gold futures fell 0.3% to $1,994.20 an ounce

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

–With assistance from Tassia Sipahutar, Richard Henderson, Aline Oyamada and Allegra Catelli.

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